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Predictions of when the lockdown will end?

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By (user no longer on site) OP over a year ago

I appreciate that nobody knows, but what's your guess?

I also appreciate that this might the millionth time this has been posted. We just rarely use the forum.

Tia x

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By *ourayloversCouple over a year ago

chesterfield

10 - 11 weeks minimum x

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

I suspect it will be 12 weeks, just based on that's how long the very vulnerable people have been told to isolate for.

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By *chneky wellhardMan over a year ago

close by

August/September then 2021 for anything to return to normal

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"I appreciate that nobody knows, but what's your guess?

I also appreciate that this might the millionth time this has been posted. We just rarely use the forum.

Tia x"
December 25

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By *ourayloversCouple over a year ago

chesterfield

"I suspect it will be 12 weeks, just based on that's how long the very vulnerable people have been told to isolate for. "

That was our thinking too x

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By *ommenhimCouple over a year ago

wigan

"I suspect it will be 12 weeks, just based on that's how long the very vulnerable people have been told to isolate for.

That was our thinking too x"

May

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By *oggoneMan over a year ago

Derry

It probably won't go back to the way things were until there is either a vaccine or we develop herd immunity. Social distancing is still a thing in china, probably will be here too, I can see the wearing of face masks becoming normalised. I think we're in this for the long haul, six months minimum, likely over a year.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

At the current rate of testing it will take over 3 years just to check NHS staff.

As usual the banks are doing their usual thing and hanging onto their money.

The government needs to get a grip on all this, we need action not words, they need to go out and find a few decent project managers to get us through this, politicians and civil servants on their own aint going to do it.

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By *ap d agde coupleCouple over a year ago

Broadstairs

12 weeks from when we locked down ,any longer country go broke and people will not be able to cope

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By *anejohnkent6263Couple over a year ago

canterbury

After 12 weeks there will be riots on the streets and no end of thefts and burglarys will escalate rapidly...civil unrest to follow

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"12 weeks from when we locked down ,any longer country go broke and people will not be able to cope"
people are broke now

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

Judging by todays Government briefing, whatever restrictions are eventually lifted there will still be some social distancing measures kept in place to avoid a "dangerous second peak" next winter.

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By *obka3Couple over a year ago

bournemouth

Lockdown will be gone by 1st wk of may could be the beginning or end of that wk, cases will then rise again but more slowly, large gatherings will be banned for much longer I suspect, or until a large number have been tested with the new test which shows immunity once we hit 50 % then restrictions on all but the vulnerable will be gradually lifted.

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By *ownhouseTwosomeCouple over a year ago

Birkenhead/Liverpool

I say, based on the stuff that government have said, end of June and then there will be a slow weaning back into normality, whilst watching for a second surge

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

I reckon the pubs will be allowed to open around 2022-ish.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

Bumped into (2 meters apart) medic friend this morning and she said end of august at the earliest but probably end of year is more likely but, only if they are sure that you cant catch it twice, otherwise a vaccine is needed before life can be normal again.

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By *obka3Couple over a year ago

bournemouth

"Bumped into (2 meters apart) medic friend this morning and she said end of august at the earliest but probably end of year is more likely but, only if they are sure that you cant catch it twice, otherwise a vaccine is needed before life can be normal again. "

Rubbish, country would be bankrupt and people would not stay in that long, besides which it would not achieve anything

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By *ap d agde coupleCouple over a year ago

Broadstairs

"I reckon the pubs will be allowed to open around 2022-ish. "
if that long be hardly a pub left to open

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By *evaquitCouple over a year ago

Catthorpe

Sixteen weeks. But before then a tighter lockdown will come and then in sixteen weeks we'll be where we are now lockdown wise, with the prospect of lighter restrictions four weeks later.

Just a hunch and based on the info I see for myself.

Him

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

2 more weeks then people will start getting back to normal, forget the government people will just start retuning bordom, money, and knowing we not making any difference people will still die. Only problem the government now have powers over us (police state) 360 pages of new law's so we are all fucked.

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By *urreyguy34Man over a year ago

Weybridge

Start of June maybe we will start going back to some sort of normal life, but nothing like it was before, maybe 18 months before we are back to that, have friends in Italy and also Spain and they have been in this longer than us, and there is no sign or talk of any kind of return from lockdown

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

Todays figures 563 and rising...we overtake China tomorrow or friday.... so no time soon.

Italy been on far stricter lockdown for a month....still rising!

Sen....bars n pubs still open. A much lower rate of infection....go figure!

Even the experts would be guessing when or if....

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By *ch WellMan over a year ago

Scotland

Just because your friend is a medic it doesn't add any credence to her prediction. People and businesses can't possibly be locked down that length of time.

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By *eeleyWoman over a year ago

Dudley

I'm pretty optimistic that it won't be that long. I think large crowded events won't be allowed until next year but I don't think this lockdown will last until summer.

I've seen many instances of people flouting the rules, having BBQ's in parks, crowds of people praying in parks, it's an absolute disgrace and stricter punishments need to be handed out.

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By *iger4uWoman over a year ago

In my happy place

August 2020

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

In theory we should stay locked until we have 14 days in a row with 0 new cases.

It could happen in the end of June or the beginning of July if people follows the rules and/or if we get stricter rules soon.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"In theory we should stay locked until we have 14 days in a row with 0 new cases.

It could happen in the end of June or the beginning of July if people follows the rules and/or if we get stricter rules soon."
14 days and no new cases could be 2 year's away,just think of it like the aids virus it's still with us.

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By *iker boy 69Man over a year ago

midlands

"I appreciate that nobody knows, but what's your guess?

I also appreciate that this might the millionth time this has been posted. We just rarely use the forum.

Tia x"

As theyre expecting death rates to hit 1000 per day by early next week, i can see it being 6 months. Id go with 2 months as is now, then stricter measures for 3 or 4 months afterwards

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"August/September then 2021 for anything to return to normal "

I agree with that, if we all survive the wipe off, it will be next year to get things back to normal, 2020 is finished now and it's about survival, sad times and scary

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By *unscot44Man over a year ago

Stepps (Glasgow)

I think if you were to purely look at it from a health point and from advice from most leading virologists and medical scientists then there is no way the lockdown should be ending in next 2 months.

However i suspect not only here but in other Countries the economy might start to be factored in more, and we might see some kind of step by step reduction in total lockdown by start of May.

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By *ch WellMan over a year ago

Scotland

"I appreciate that nobody knows, but what's your guess?

I also appreciate that this might the millionth time this has been posted. We just rarely use the forum.

Tia x

As theyre expecting death rates to hit 1000 per day by early next week, i can see it being 6 months. Id go with 2 months as is now, then stricter measures for 3 or 4 months afterwards"

2 months as it is now then 4 months of stricter measures? What would they be? Can't leave the 1 room let alone your house?

Count me out, if that's what it comes to then I'd rather catch it. Fuck sitting in my house staring at the walls for 6 months. That's no life at all.

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By *itty9899Man over a year ago

Craggy Island

March 2021.

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By (user no longer on site) OP over a year ago

Thanks everyone for the replies. A tough one to gauge judging by everyone's responses. But presumably the government don't even know, yet!

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By *iss pleasuringWoman over a year ago

Somewhere near

"Thanks everyone for the replies. A tough one to gauge judging by everyone's responses. But presumably the government don't even know, yet!"

Daily figures are changing with huge numbers .. point

China has already slackened on lock Down .... point

Mr bj has no idea as does the WHO

how long is a piece of String

My prediction is late may early June .. and that could be just to lighten up

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By *iss pleasuringWoman over a year ago

Somewhere near

This virus is here to stay like the flu

I think eventually we will be getting jabs for cv 19 like the flu jab.

Many new changes.ahead

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By *ty31Man over a year ago

NW London

From the article I read featuring a statement from the medical advisor I'd go for lockdown ending in late May/early June (I.e 12 weeks) and social distancing lasting until October (6 months)

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By *hrista BellendWoman over a year ago

surrounded by twinkly lights

"I appreciate that nobody knows, but what's your guess?

I also appreciate that this might the millionth time this has been posted. We just rarely use the forum.

Tia x

As theyre expecting death rates to hit 1000 per day by early next week, i can see it being 6 months. Id go with 2 months as is now, then stricter measures for 3 or 4 months afterwards"

They will hit 1000 this week, we are in the infected stage of all the panic shoppers who went crazy and touched everything and everyone in the shops before lockdown happened...

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"From the article I read featuring a statement from the medical advisor I'd go for lockdown ending in late May/early June (I.e 12 weeks) and social distancing lasting until October (6 months)"

Id go with this to

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

The longer this goes on the more people will suffer for year's to come. We have to ask are we going to let millions suffer for year's if so keep the lockdown, but remember the cure could do more harm than the virus.

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By *herryblossom_BJWoman over a year ago

Oxfordshire/Hampshire

I'm studying coronavirus as part of my job and now its been proven people can still infect upto 24 days. So longer the lockdown, the better chances we have of curbing or decreasing the growth.

just keep praying people are now being careful than they weren't before

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By *ty31Man over a year ago

NW London

"The longer this goes on the more people will suffer for year's to come. We have to ask are we going to let millions suffer for year's if so keep the lockdown, but remember the cure could do more harm than the virus. "

Agree, I do think three months of lockdown/restricted movement is the maximum realistically. Beyond that we could see widespread disobedience and unrest, especially as the weather gets warmer.

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By *asIsaCouple over a year ago

harrow

"I appreciate that nobody knows, but what's your guess?

I also appreciate that this might the millionth time this has been posted. We just rarely use the forum.

Tia x

As theyre expecting death rates to hit 1000 per day by early next week, i can see it being 6 months. Id go with 2 months as is now, then stricter measures for 3 or 4 months afterwards"

Absolutely . Expect 6 months minimum lockdown with certain restrictions being lifted then imposed again. The lockdown measures have to become stricter when we start losing the 5-10 thousand per week. 18 months social distancing will be a minimum

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"I appreciate that nobody knows, but what's your guess?

I also appreciate that this might the millionth time this has been posted. We just rarely use the forum.

Tia x"

After the riots ...

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By *asIsaCouple over a year ago

harrow

"I suspect it will be 12 weeks, just based on that's how long the very vulnerable people have been told to isolate for.

That was our thinking too x"

Exactly - so we know it's a minimum of 12 weeks and more likely 25 weeks or so

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By *sianMancMan over a year ago

Manchester

I've said since late jan probably early feb to be in lockdown.

I believe we will have sporadic lockdowns to severe lockdowns for the next 12 to 18months.

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By *asIsaCouple over a year ago

harrow

"It probably won't go back to the way things were until there is either a vaccine or we develop herd immunity. Social distancing is still a thing in china, probably will be here too, I can see the wearing of face masks becoming normalised. I think we're in this for the long haul, six months minimum, likely over a year. "

2 years minimum

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By *iamondCougarWoman over a year ago

Norfuck! / Lincolnshire

I agree - even when lockdown is lifted you can’t go back to hugging and kissing! It will cause a spike and here we go again.

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By *asIsaCouple over a year ago

harrow

"I've said since late jan probably early feb to be in lockdown.

I believe we will have sporadic lockdowns to severe lockdowns for the next 12 to 18months."

I think that you are exactly right although I suspect a lot longer than 12-18 months! No one has yet come up with an exit strategy so this thing ain't going anywhere over the next few years unless an exit strategy can be realistically devised.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

2 years minimum "

Dont be so fucking ridiculous ?

2 years ??

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By *wisted999Man over a year ago

North Bucks

I’m going with the original 12 weeks with Social distancing policies

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"After 12 weeks there will be riots on the streets and no end of thefts and burglarys will escalate rapidly...civil unrest to follow"

Why would 12 weeks trigger that?

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By *asIsaCouple over a year ago

harrow

2 years minimum

Dont be so fucking ridiculous ?

2 years ?? "

Every virologist, scientist etc saying this isn't going anywhere for at least 2 years and that's only with the possibility of a widespread vaccine. No scientist in the world has yet come up with any exit strategy but obviously you have! Let's hear it then instead of becoming abusive

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"I appreciate that nobody knows, but what's your guess?

I also appreciate that this might the millionth time this has been posted. We just rarely use the forum.

Tia x"

It will be extended for another 3 weeks on the 13th then they will start to ‘loosen’ the restrictions after that .

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

It wont be 12 weeks full lockdown will it? I live alone and been put on furlough... got used to being alone at night but all day is difficult... I was thinking it would be 3/4 weeks

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

2 years minimum

Dont be so fucking ridiculous ?

2 years ??

You honestly think we will be on a lockdown for 2 years?

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

We will be on lockdown through at least april and may, after that it will be a phased return with some restrictions lifting but no mass gatherings over the summer

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By *asIsaCouple over a year ago

harrow

2 years minimum

Dont be so fucking ridiculous ?

2 years ??

You honestly think we will be on a lockdown for 2 years? "

I didn't say that all!

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By *sianMancMan over a year ago

Manchester

"I've said since late jan probably early feb to be in lockdown.

I believe we will have sporadic lockdowns to severe lockdowns for the next 12 to 18months.

Thank you

That 12 to 18 atleast I should have said as that is still currently the earliest a vaccine can be released.

Not until a vaccine is made can we be out of this I believe.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

Reading some of the answers on means we are fucked, the country will be on its knees. We keep lockdown to long and we become a third world country.

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By *moothCriminal_xMan over a year ago

Redditch

It will be necessary to ease restrictions by june. Once the effects have caused a sustained period of downward pressure on the curve we need to gradually return to normal or else we then see a sudden spike so i imagine schools go back around 8th June.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

2 years minimum

Dont be so fucking ridiculous ?

2 years ??

You honestly think we will be on a lockdown for 2 years?

I didn't say that all!"

Fair enough, when do you think the lockdown will end?

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

Read today on BBC a potential drug treatment for coronavirus have started human trials. Thoughts on this?

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By *old1974Man over a year ago

Manchester

We will be out of lockdown by may and pubs open by June holidays in sept back to normal by November I was told by Nostradamus.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

No way will they get the majority of people to stay lock in their homes for six months. Already lots of self employed people close to going broke. The economy would be completely devastated if it goes on any where near that length of time. I for one wouldn’t stay locked up for six month’s especially through the Summer

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By *yesgreenMan over a year ago

north and south

"Read today on BBC a potential drug treatment for coronavirus have started human trials. Thoughts on this?"
May as people are having other issues from the staying in and lack of funds , Can't keep people in for life !!!!

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By *old1974Man over a year ago

Manchester

Suicides will rise as businesses go bust and divorces will skyrocket if this goes on but government doesn't see this. Infect all well healthy people with a mild dose and wipe out 50% of carriers of Infection then cases may go down.

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By *asIsaCouple over a year ago

harrow

2 years minimum

Dont be so fucking ridiculous ?

2 years ??

You honestly think we will be on a lockdown for 2 years?

I didn't say that all!

Fair enough, when do you think the lockdown will end? "

I think this lockdown will for sure be for 12 weeks . We know that as 1.4 million 'vulnerable ' people were told that last week . After that, sporadic lockdowns as obviously the virus will spike every time restrictions are partially lifted. What I said was that by all accounts this virus isn't going anywhere for at least 2 years ( and that's vaccine dependent) so expect these sporadic lockdowns over that period and social distancing to become a way of life throughout that period

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By *aygnt2021Man over a year ago

Kidderminster

I reckon we will have another 3 week lock down and then restrictions will lift but no large gathering for a while hopefully 12 weeks we can some kind of normal life back

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By *oggoneMan over a year ago

Derry

2 years minimum

Dont be so fucking ridiculous ?

2 years ??

You honestly think we will be on a lockdown for 2 years? "

I don't think the country will be on lockdown for two years but there's going to be a new normal, things will be in flux for a while but this a long term problem. If we're lucky there might be some respite over the summer.

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By *abs..Woman over a year ago

I think the next two weeks will be the worst then numbers will subside gradually. I think it is a virus which will be around every winter like the regular seasonal flu and we will need a vaccine to keep numbers down.

It’s a virus, it’s not going anywhere.

As far as our situation is at the moment, I think we are like this for many weeks to come.

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By *tartingoutlondonCouple over a year ago

London

Herd immunity may come before a vaccination and requires 60% of the population to have had it I believe? I read some literature that thinks the infection rate so far is 2 or 3%, so look at the cumulative infection count to extrapolate 60% from that.

The lockdown will sink the numbers after a while, maybe July? Restrictions will be eased and if sensible, will be inapplicable for 'anyone who has recovered or thinks they had it and recovered' which will return some normality unless people end up being able to catch it multiple times (unlikely though). Many people will take that as a return to form, so depending on NHS capacity, we may see a second lockdown for summer, through to whatever the burnout time is (Sep/Oct?) I would wager vaccines start coming online around Nov for the front line workers and vulnerable which will tip the balance between a third full lockdown and a gradual return to normality. Likewise if a suitable treatment is discovered which opens up NHS capacity, we will be spared it at full strength. A wide take up of a bluetooth based contact tracking app would also allow for more freedom in this period.

The second full lockdown can additionally be avoided if antibody tests are widespread by then, and people could be excused from lockdown if they pass (only 83% accurate from what I read though).

All estimates pulled from the depth of my butt and entirely an opinion!

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

Lockdown till 09/20 but not back to normal till 05/21

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By *hampagne_Supernova_91Man over a year ago

Manchester

Probably around September at the rate it's going. Still don't think we'll have fully grasped it by July but will be on the right track to beating it

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By *ch WellMan over a year ago

Scotland

"No way will they get the majority of people to stay lock in their homes for six months. Already lots of self employed people close to going broke. The economy would be completely devastated if it goes on any where near that length of time. I for one wouldn’t stay locked up for six month’s especially through the Summer "

I said pretty much this elsewhere today and got called a troll. Lol

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

People saying the country will be bankrupt after 12 weeks are living in fairyland after 2 world wars this country has cash reserves that will last a lot longer than 12 weeks

And for those saying there will be social unrest or riots that is complete nonsense I believe the majority of the country are behind this no matter how long it takes

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By *anna ViolaneTV/TS over a year ago

South East

My guess is 6 months by which time China will have its economy at full strength while the west is decimated. We may all be paying way higher taxes and face shortages. I don't want to estimated the final death toll but it will be high. All the time the lying Chinese Communist govnt. will have got away with it scot free!

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By *ch WellMan over a year ago

Scotland

"People saying the country will be bankrupt after 12 weeks are living in fairyland after 2 world wars this country has cash reserves that will last a lot longer than 12 weeks

And for those saying there will be social unrest or riots that is complete nonsense I believe the majority of the country are behind this no matter how long it takes"

Cash reserves after 2 world wars? We just finished paying for ww1 in 2015

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

I reckon we will have another 3 weeks added on the end of this 3 weeks at the very least. Hopefully they will have pulled their finger out of their arse with the testing and immune people can get back out and working. Social distancing for a good while yet though although if we're all out and about not sure how we can.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"People saying the country will be bankrupt after 12 weeks are living in fairyland after 2 world wars this country has cash reserves that will last a lot longer than 12 weeks

And for those saying there will be social unrest or riots that is complete nonsense I believe the majority of the country are behind this no matter how long it takes

Cash reserves after 2 world wars? We just finished paying for ww1 in 2015"
do your research mate we have cash reserves

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By *oggoneMan over a year ago

Derry

Spanish Flu was a global pandemic and lasted for 3 years, what stopped it eventually was it ran out of victims. CV19 is somewhat different, they still don't understand why some people can display no symptoms and others will require weeks in an ICU on a ventilator.

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By *obka3Couple over a year ago

bournemouth

"I reckon we will have another 3 weeks added on the end of this 3 weeks at the very least. Hopefully they will have pulled their finger out of their arse with the testing and immune people can get back out and working. Social distancing for a good while yet though although if we're all out and about not sure how we can. "

You do realise the current test only shows if you have it at the time of the test not if you had it and recovered, when that test is perfected it will be a game changer.

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By *ch WellMan over a year ago

Scotland

"People saying the country will be bankrupt after 12 weeks are living in fairyland after 2 world wars this country has cash reserves that will last a lot longer than 12 weeks

And for those saying there will be social unrest or riots that is complete nonsense I believe the majority of the country are behind this no matter how long it takes

Cash reserves after 2 world wars? We just finished paying for ww1 in 2015 do your research mate we have cash reserves"

I know we have cash reserves but it still isn't an endless pot of money that can pay everyone's wages indefinitely. Make no mistake the country is going to be paying for this for decades

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

[Removed by poster at 01/04/20 22:31:13]

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

You do realise the current test only shows if you have it at the time of the test not if you had it and recovered, when that test is perfected it will be a game changer. "

Yep thats the one Im waiting for

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By *andKBCouple over a year ago

Plymouth

"Spanish Flu was a global pandemic and lasted for 3 years, what stopped it eventually was it ran out of victims. CV19 is somewhat different, they still don't understand why some people can display no symptoms and others will require weeks in an ICU on a ventilator."

Isnt it mostly due to age and risk factors? Theres also the impact of viral load. Theres also the impact of other factors they're looking into such as race

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

Early June.

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By *andKBCouple over a year ago

Plymouth

I think the economy will be the deciding factor in the lockdown not the virus... if we spend six months locked down with businesses unable to function it will ruin the economy.

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By *iker boy 69Man over a year ago

midlands

"I appreciate that nobody knows, but what's your guess?

I also appreciate that this might the millionth time this has been posted. We just rarely use the forum.

Tia x

As theyre expecting death rates to hit 1000 per day by early next week, i can see it being 6 months. Id go with 2 months as is now, then stricter measures for 3 or 4 months afterwards

2 months as it is now then 4 months of stricter measures? What would they be? Can't leave the 1 room let alone your house?

Count me out, if that's what it comes to then I'd rather catch it. Fuck sitting in my house staring at the walls for 6 months. That's no life at all."

I can see it being total lockdown for none food/nhs/999 workers. Im only a welder but have to go work, and theyll put stop to that. Ban excercise outings etc

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

It's taken over 30 years to get an AIDS vaccine!!

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

2 years minimum

Dont be so fucking ridiculous ?

2 years ??

You honestly think we will be on a lockdown for 2 years?

You did actually aay 2 years minimum, even though you now say you didnt ! Bit of a contradiction i feel ! I wasnt being abusive earlier, just saying what i thought, & yes, im no expert, just like everyone else on here !!!! "

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"People saying the country will be bankrupt after 12 weeks are living in fairyland after 2 world wars this country has cash reserves that will last a lot longer than 12 weeks

And for those saying there will be social unrest or riots that is complete nonsense I believe the majority of the country are behind this no matter how long it takes"

I would have to disagree with that the majority of the country has no idea what it’s like to be locked up for extended periods. Lots of people with mental health issues could not cope with six months of solitary confinement

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By *andKBCouple over a year ago

Plymouth

"People saying the country will be bankrupt after 12 weeks are living in fairyland after 2 world wars this country has cash reserves that will last a lot longer than 12 weeks

And for those saying there will be social unrest or riots that is complete nonsense I believe the majority of the country are behind this no matter how long it takes

I (K) struggle with mental health problems. I fear in six months I'll either not be here or sectioned. Theres no positive news, no nothing. It's all quite scary

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By *oldsteadyMan over a year ago

glasgow

There's no prospect of a 12 or 18-month lockdown.

More people would die of poverty cause by economic collapse than of coronavirus.

The sad reality is that the new hospitals being built should really be called hospices.

Most of the people going in there will die and the numbers will eventually start to fall.

The people who may remain in lockdown longer are those currently being told to stay in for three months.

They might stay like that until a vaccine becomes available next year.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"I've said since late jan probably early feb to be in lockdown.

I believe we will have sporadic lockdowns to severe lockdowns for the next 12 to 18months.

Exit strategy would be a vaccine?

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By *ob198XaMan over a year ago

teleford

"2 more weeks then people will start getting back to normal, forget the government people will just start retuning bordom, money, and knowing we not making any difference people will still die. Only problem the government now have powers over us (police state) 360 pages of new law's so we are all fucked. "

It makes a big difference. Lockdown means the NHS has to try and care for 10,000 patients at any one point rather than 100,000.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

September. In line with return to schools, colleges and universities.

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By *mmabluTV/TS over a year ago

upton wirral

"Early June. "

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By *ap d agde coupleCouple over a year ago

Broadstairs

[Removed by poster at 01/04/20 23:11:19]

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By *asIsaCouple over a year ago

harrow

"I've said since late jan probably early feb to be in lockdown.

I believe we will have sporadic lockdowns to severe lockdowns for the next 12 to 18months.

Thank you

That 12 to 18 atleast I should have said as that is still currently the earliest a vaccine can be released.

Not until a vaccine is made can we be out of this I believe."

Absolutely - a lot of deluded people on here I'm afraid

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By *asIsaCouple over a year ago

harrow

"I've said since late jan probably early feb to be in lockdown.

I believe we will have sporadic lockdowns to severe lockdowns for the next 12 to 18months.

Exit strategy would be a vaccine?

What do you think?

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By *oldsteadyMan over a year ago

glasgow

"People saying the country will be bankrupt after 12 weeks are living in fairyland after 2 world wars this country has cash reserves that will last a lot longer than 12 weeks

And for those saying there will be social unrest or riots that is complete nonsense I believe the majority of the country are behind this no matter how long it takes"

This is not a world war.

Young people are being kept indoors, denied education and a chance to start their adult lives - all for something that barely gives them a sniffle.

Many of them will rebel when they realise they face decades of austerity to give old people a few more years in a care home.

This is the harsh reality.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"September. In line with return to schools, colleges and universities. "

You won’t keep the general population locked in till September that’s crazy.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"People saying the country will be bankrupt after 12 weeks are living in fairyland after 2 world wars this country has cash reserves that will last a lot longer than 12 weeks

And for those saying there will be social unrest or riots that is complete nonsense I believe the majority of the country are behind this no matter how long it takes

This is not a world war.

Young people are being kept indoors, denied education and a chance to start their adult lives - all for something that barely gives them a sniffle.

Many of them will rebel when they realise they face decades of austerity to give old people a few more years in a care home.

This is the harsh reality.

"
Where's all the spare cash people are saying we have,just had 10 year's trying to balance the books. If we had all this extra cash we wouldn't have gone through 10 years of tighting our belts. Must be momentum members who believe money grows on trees.

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By *he Ring WraithMan over a year ago

Bradford

If (rather than when) the government decide to relax these restriction you mean !

They would be more than happy to keep these measures in place for months or longer, telling us all that the danger is not yet past.

they cant even get their acts together on testing people for the virus, and decide that the anti-body test is going to be licenced so they are not going to even think about a timescale for this to end.

there is no viable opposition in parliament, the judiciary and lawyers are all part of the Boris clan and will be earing their money whatever happens; so who is going to argue that the need for restrictions is over !

he didn't listen to his medical advisors telling him to start restrictions, he sure as hell isn't going to listen when they say remove them is he ?

the man is a megalomaniac buffoon who dies what he wants as there is no one to hold him to account and now he has the 'emergency powers' just watch this space what comes next - A curfew I bet, no one on the streets from 6pm to 6am ?

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By *he Ring WraithMan over a year ago

Bradford

You do realise the current test only shows if you have it at the time of the test not if you had it and recovered, when that test is perfected it will be a game changer.

Yep thats the one Im waiting for

What on earth makes you think that they will either use this or tell us it exists and works they are not even testing the NHS staff with the test they now have !

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By *ap d agde coupleCouple over a year ago

Broadstairs

"People saying the country will be bankrupt after 12 weeks are living in fairyland after 2 world wars this country has cash reserves that will last a lot longer than 12 weeks

And for those saying there will be social unrest or riots that is complete nonsense I believe the majority of the country are behind this no matter how long it takes

This is not a world war.

Young people are being kept indoors, denied education and a chance to start their adult lives - all for something that barely gives them a sniffle.

Many of them will rebel when they realise they face decades of austerity to give old people a few more years in a care home.

This is the harsh reality.

Where's all the spare cash people are saying we have,just had 10 year's trying to balance the books. If we had all this extra cash we wouldn't have gone through 10 years of tighting our belts. Must be momentum members who believe money grows on trees."
Uk is 2 Trillion in debt ,pays 60 Billion a year interest on that ,Check in office for National Statistics

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By *oldsteadyMan over a year ago

glasgow

Not much point in a curfew - the streets are deserted from early evening onwards.

The worry is that he will introduce harder daytime restrictions - needing a permit to leave the house or risk arrest.

He will think that is strong leadership - it is, of course, to distract people from his incompetence in tackling the pandemic.

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By *ab_SparklesWoman over a year ago

sparkle Surprised

When my ex announced he suddenly wants to give me a big hug after this. I'm thinking the next million years would be ok, just don't tell him it's over

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"I appreciate that nobody knows, but what's your guess?

I also appreciate that this might the millionth time this has been posted. We just rarely use the forum.

Tia x

It will be extended for another 3 weeks on the 13th then they will start to ‘loosen’ the restrictions after that . "

Yep something along these lines

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

Rubbish, country would be bankrupt and people would not stay in that long, besides which it would not achieve anything"

I think I would rather trust the opinions of my friend (an nhs surgeon) than a horse whisperer tbh

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By *asIsaCouple over a year ago

harrow

Rubbish, country would be bankrupt and people would not stay in that long, besides which it would not achieve anything

I think I would rather trust the opinions of my friend (an nhs surgeon) than a horse whisperer tbh"

Exactly - well said!

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By *asIsaCouple over a year ago

harrow

"I reckon the pubs will be allowed to open around 2022-ish. "

Don't know if you are joking or not but you may very well be right

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By *eddy and legsCouple over a year ago

the wetlands

You do realise the current test only shows if you have it at the time of the test not if you had it and recovered, when that test is perfected it will be a game changer. "

But at the time of the test you could be in the early stages of infection and test negative as you won't have developed anti bodies

Nothing about this is simple and there is no simple solution

In another two weeks we will know more about the disease, more about testing, more about death rates and more importantly if the current measure is effective enough to contain the spread and even if the virus starts to weaken it's grip as seasonal flu does with warmer weather.

In two weeks time we MIGHT have an idea of what we can do and when we can do it.

It's all educated guesses by people that aren't educated in this virus

Scary

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

3rd April hopefully

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By *erriAnneTV/TS over a year ago

The shire

I'm going for the end of May then a gradual release of the restrictions like restaurants can open but must impose 2m between tables and pubs but only allow in a certain number based on size.

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By *olly_chromaticTV/TS over a year ago

Stockport

When everybody is seeing body bags being carried from houses up and down their streets, there will be no need for lockdown regulations because people will be too shit scared of going out. The difficulty at the end will be persuading people to return to normality.

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By *obyn GravesTV/TS over a year ago

1127 walnut avenue

"When everybody is seeing body bags being carried from houses up and down their streets, there will be no need for lockdown regulations because people will be too shit scared of going out. The difficulty at the end will be persuading people to return to normality."

Jesus... cheer us all up why dont'cha..

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

It’s not the plague think your exaggeration some what

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

It’s not the plague think your exaggeration some what "

I told Polly she was exaggerating too.

I'm eating my words now

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

I bet first restriction lifted will be you can go back to work but otherwise cant go out

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By *olly_chromaticTV/TS over a year ago

Stockport

It’s not the plague think your exaggeration some what "

It's what is happening in italy and spain right now. We had all the information from china months before the first case came to Europe. If it had been called something like "pulmonary plague" it would have been treated seriously from day one and none of the shit going down now would have been necessary.

It is a plague. It is an infection that has spread to every corner of the globe in just a couple of months. The deaths are climbing towards a million world wide already, and it is just in the earliest stages most places. There is potential for wiping out anything between 1% and 20% of the global population. And every time someone says "it's not that serious", "you're exaggerating it", "the numbers might be less", "it only gets those who are already ill", the final death toll is going to be higher than it needed to be.

What do you want from a plague? Black splodges all over the bodies, blood leaking from eyes? Is it not enough for you that people are unable to breathe and drowning in the sludge that is accumulating in their lungs?

To paraphrase the words of some wise people - it's a fucking plague, just fucking stay at home.

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By *obka3Couple over a year ago

bournemouth

So now it's going to kill 20% of us ? Strange how the who say around 1 to 2 % , although it could be more in densely populated areas I fear .

Hysteria isnt going to help folks

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By *eddy and legsCouple over a year ago

the wetlands

It’s not the plague think your exaggeration some what

To paraphrase the words of some wise people - it's a fucking plague, just fucking stay at home. "

Deaths approaching a million already eh ??

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By *olly_chromaticTV/TS over a year ago

Stockport

"So now it's going to kill 20% of us ? Strange how the who say around 1 to 2 % , although it could be more in densely populated areas I fear .

Hysteria isnt going to help folks"

The worldwide experience is that with advanced hospital care the deaths directly from covid-19 can be kept down to about 4% of those infected. However when a very large percentage of the population are infected, the number of deaths overwhelms health care provision and something like 10% die. Then there are also the knock on effects of people dying from other conditions that are normally treatable because they cannot get treatment - car crashes, heart attacks, broken arms, mother and child dying during childbirth - all the things you take for granted because you normally have access to healthcare. Then the systems for disposing of dead bodies will be overwhelmed. People will die in houses and not be discovered for weeks or months. Other diseases - maybe your genuine to goodness actual plague - will spread. More people will die. If the system falls apart too much then food distribution fails, people starve or fight. More death.

So no, 20% global death is not unreasonable. It's unlikely. But get more likely every single time some damn fool says that there's no problem.

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By *sGivesWoodWoman over a year ago

ST. AUSTELL, CORNWALL

It’s not the plague think your exaggeration some what

To paraphrase the words of some wise people - it's a fucking plague, just fucking stay at home. "

It's not a plague with a 2% mortality rate. You'll be suggesting mass graves and painting red crosses on doors next!

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By *he Ring WraithMan over a year ago

Bradford

Jesus... cheer us all up why dont'cha..

Because there is nothing to be cheerful about is the reason !

Too many twats who are still thinking this is not going to affect them and so are doing what the fuck they like !

Politicians who think slowly and act slower still leading people who don't listen to advice or obey the lockdown !

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By *olly_chromaticTV/TS over a year ago

Stockport

It’s not the plague think your exaggeration some what

To paraphrase the words of some wise people - it's a fucking plague, just fucking stay at home.

It's not a plague with a 2% mortality rate. You'll be suggesting mass graves and painting red crosses on doors next!

No. I'm just trying to put across the message that this is very serious indeed, it's the biggest health crisis that has hit the uk in the last 100 years. I do hope that it doesn't go to mass graves, but it has already in some countries

Please stay safe everyone. Some of you are my friends. Some of you exasperate me. You are all my fab family. Polly xx

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By *eddy and legsCouple over a year ago

the wetlands

Somwhen did it climb towards a million death worldwide ?

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By *sGivesWoodWoman over a year ago

ST. AUSTELL, CORNWALL

"Somwhen did it climb towards a million death worldwide ?"

Not heard that anywhere either.

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By *ty31Man over a year ago

NW London

"Somwhen did it climb towards a million death worldwide ?"

Millionth infection maybe

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By *lorious hole bs16Man over a year ago

Bristol

I haven't a clue but will rely on fab experts!

No expecting much change before the fall..

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By *sGivesWoodWoman over a year ago

ST. AUSTELL, CORNWALL

"I haven't a clue but will rely on fab experts!

No expecting much change before the fall.."

I think this is the most likely scenario, a few weeks won't be enough.

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By *anejohnkent6263Couple over a year ago

canterbury

I'm more worried about the amount of new chavies born in 9 months time....probably to more shit

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

People keep going about about death rates and such. That’s what the media are feeding you. In real numbers this Virus is low in numbers!

Sadly 50,000 passed away from November. But 100,000 people have passed away from age related problems a day. I’m not trying to dumb down the numbers, far from it. A very good friend passed away last night, that’s our first taste of someone passing away from this! The first time it was not just a number but a dam good mate!

18 million die a year from Cardiovascular

10 million die a year from Cancer

I’m not trying to be a dick, but looking at the bigger picture, this is small in numbers

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By *eddy and legsCouple over a year ago

the wetlands

"Somwhen did it climb towards a million death worldwide ?

Not heard that anywhere either. "

Post above mine has the quote

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By *andy 1Couple over a year ago

northeast

1 deaths to many stop in and save a life

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By *sianMancMan over a year ago

Manchester

"I've said since late jan probably early feb to be in lockdown.

I believe we will have sporadic lockdowns to severe lockdowns for the next 12 to 18months.

Exit strategy would be a vaccine?"

That is the ONLY strategy.

The WHO said TEST TEST TEST but also isolation or quarantine.

If you test test test before the spread gets far you can then quickly isolate people that have it and thus detain and control the spread eventually and contain the virus to those people.

It would be awful for the people that got it but it would now stop it from spreading to other people.

So an example is say london

You contain it by testing lets say and successfully you curb it before it got out of london to anywhere else.

This is what the WHO were saying all along.

The stupid government first wanted to go with herd immunity and now they realised that was pathetic and are going with this sudden isolation that was not even their wanted choice but because the stupid foolish people that didnt get it when out to the beaches and parks (some may have had to due to health issues I respect that) but everyone there didnt need to be there and thus they had to go with isolation.

The point however is that its not late, we are unable to curb the spread because IT IS spreading.

Now what they will do is open the isolation, people will go out, more get ill, ok isolate again and then repeat and rinse.

The fact is they didnt order PPEs in time, nor did they have any preparations in place even though this contingency of a pandemic has been tested many times incase it occurred and so we are now in this situation.

The USA sadly is in a greater mess.

The ONLY strategy now to exit from all this is a vaccine and this is what ive said for weeks if not months now.

Some may jump on and say well the antibody testing will be the saving grace and I say will it Frak!

The test firstly is only to say if you had it not if you could get it again or will....this is a NOVEL virus, this means we have absolutely no clue what it will do and how it will do it.

The ONLY solution is stay the FRAK indoors and stop being part of the problem - isolate and protect yourself and thus you protect others.

Its really that simple.

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By *sianMancMan over a year ago

Manchester

"I've said since late jan probably early feb to be in lockdown.

I believe we will have sporadic lockdowns to severe lockdowns for the next 12 to 18months.

Thank you

That 12 to 18 atleast I should have said as that is still currently the earliest a vaccine can be released.

Not until a vaccine is made can we be out of this I believe.

Absolutely - a lot of deluded people on here I'm afraid"

and not just on this thread sadly

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

Personally ,and not wanting to be morbid,l honestly think as the song says .." it's the end of the world as we know it "...it's not like this Corona Virus had landed in countries for a holiday and will check out in a month's time or something,..who the fuck knows when twill eventually be 100% gone ,if ever ,..the normality of life as we knew it before is over and the wearing of face masks could very well become compulsory like in Czechoslovakia ,I think ya can draw a line through 2020 ,it's April already,l would be very worried about the long term implications and the knock on effects of a lot of things that this Corona virus brings with it .

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"People keep going about about death rates and such. That’s what the media are feeding you. In real numbers this Virus is low in numbers!

18 million die a year from Cardiovascular

10 million die a year from Cancer

I’m not trying to be a dick, but looking at the bigger picture, this is small in numbers "

Finally someone keeping things in perspective

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By *r_Jake70Man over a year ago

London

"People keep going about about death rates and such. That’s what the media are feeding you. In real numbers this Virus is low in numbers!

18 million die a year from Cardiovascular

10 million die a year from Cancer

I’m not trying to be a dick, but looking at the bigger picture, this is small in numbers "

Accept you are being ‘a dick’ if you think that this is comparable. Just think about what you’ve written. Are the health systems in dozens of countries over run with cancer or cardiovascular related illness? Are health workers putting their lives at risk due to the lack of protection they have from cancer patients? Are people dropping dead of heart decease within days of the first symptom? Has the economy tanked because of these conditions? Will the numbers world wide dwarf those above within the next 6 months?

Stop reading shit posts on Facebook or whatever else you use for your shit statistics and think about what is happening.

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By *ky19Man over a year ago

Plymouth

I think it'll end once we all agree, every man woman and child, to hand over DNA samples to be put on profile, by sticking a swab up our nose total recall style. i.e. a test.

And once we've gone to the cashless society they've been desperate to foist on us for years. Now's the perfect excuse!

But most of all when 5G is up and running, while no-one's looking towers are currently being set up while we're all on lockdown and can't do anything about it. The opposition to 5G was huge, but now, along with French and Hong Kong protests has been wiped out. So the little people lose out and the masters get their way.

August is the date planned for the higher frequencies so a further increase in sickness can be expected - and it wouldn't surprise me to see this being misdiagnosed. Being ultra-sensitive to 4G or even 3G for long times, this worries me more than any virus.

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By *ky19Man over a year ago

Plymouth

In the meantime here's a woman in a tower block fighting official lies and misinformation from official people who are lying and trying to pretend someone's died who hasn't:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGL6GNKy5fk

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By *ky19Man over a year ago

Plymouth

"In the meantime here's a woman in a tower block fighting official lies and misinformation from official people who are lying and trying to pretend someone's died who hasn't:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGL6GNKy5fk"

Well lookee here, the original video has already been taken down.

The above one is another copy so see it quick before it's censored too.

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By *eddy and legsCouple over a year ago

the wetlands

"People keep going about about death rates and such. That’s what the media are feeding you. In real numbers this Virus is low in numbers!

18 million die a year from Cardiovascular

10 million die a year from Cancer

I’m not trying to be a dick, but looking at the bigger picture, this is small in numbers

Finally someone keeping things in perspective "

Yep, one small problem though, cardiovascular and cancer arent contagious

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By *sGivesWoodWoman over a year ago

ST. AUSTELL, CORNWALL

"In the meantime here's a woman in a tower block fighting official lies and misinformation from official people who are lying and trying to pretend someone's died who hasn't:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGL6GNKy5fk"

Hopefully this will stay up. I did notice one of the guys on bio suits taking off his face mask halfway through too. Not adding up at all.

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By *moothCriminal_xMan over a year ago

Redditch

Come on people of fab. Lets not be totally gullible. The woman filming this video is a hysterical nutjob who isnt listening to a word that is being said

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

In the year 2210 if God is coming he should of made it bye then

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"Come on people of fab. Lets not be totally gullible. The woman filming this video is a hysterical nutjob who isnt listening to a word that is being said"

Lmao people really believe this crap

tin foil hat time

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"People keep going about about death rates and such. That’s what the media are feeding you. In real numbers this Virus is low in numbers!

18 million die a year from Cardiovascular

10 million die a year from Cancer

I’m not trying to be a dick, but looking at the bigger picture, this is small in numbers

Stop reading shit posts on Facebook or whatever else you use for your shit statistics and think about what is happening. "

Exactly, cancer and cardiovascular disease is not air born and highly contagious, that's what makes covid so much more dangerous

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

I think we can look at June/July before things can start to look up...

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By *andy 1Couple over a year ago

northeast

[Removed by poster at 04/04/20 11:07:48]

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By *andy 1Couple over a year ago

northeast

[Removed by poster at 04/04/20 11:06:37]

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By *estivalMan over a year ago

borehamwood

could be 6 months.look at china everytime they show china on tv at mo its bejing where they were hardky affected by it.only small crowds and everyone in masks.anyone seen any footage from wuhan recently i know i havent.is it now a forgotten city? also not heard a peep about the camps there keeping all the muslims in has it tirn through them so theres not any left.i would keep an eye on what spain and italy do rather than listen to anything that the communist party in china has to say.they kept quiet when virus first started and let millions leave wuhan.the rest of the world now knows what the chinese people have to put up with

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By *heLaserGuyMan over a year ago

Coventry

I just had a notification that its mid May

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By *ch WellMan over a year ago

Scotland

"I just had a notification that its mid May "

From Boris?

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By *uysx2Couple (MM) over a year ago

Birmingham

Just said on the BBC news that the case figures will be looked at and the lockdown restrictions will be reviewed at the end of May to see if the restrictions can be eased. Looks like we're all on lockdown until the end of May maybe longer.

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By *oggoneMan over a year ago

Derry

This morning Prof Neil Ferguson was say restrictions MIGHT be adjusted by the end of May if the public can still observe social distancing, so behave yourselves.

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By *ittyslutTV/TS over a year ago

crewkerne

When the clowns go out today and tomorrow and don't keep their distance then forget this year.

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By *olly_chromaticTV/TS over a year ago

Stockport

"I just had a notification that its mid May "

According to my calendar it's April the 4th

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

"If (rather than when) the government decide to relax these restriction you mean !

They would be more than happy to keep these measures in place for months or longer, telling us all that the danger is not yet past.

he didn't listen to his medical advisors telling him to start restrictions, he sure as hell isn't going to listen when they say remove them is he ?

Are the party’s/MP’s on furlough or full pay?

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By *aulupforitMan over a year ago

Corbridge

I said 6 months

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By *hris 62Man over a year ago

HEREFORD

That is true

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By *wisted999Man over a year ago

North Bucks

Spain have popped for another three weeks.

I think we will look at the continent and try and stay ahead if we can

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By *hubaysiWoman over a year ago

Leeds

Oooooh now what did I do with my crystal ball

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By *anillaboyMan over a year ago

london

Between 1st and 20th of june. . End of April we will reach the maximum then slow going down. End of May couple of cases and in one or two weeks after back to normal.

Am i Nostradamus...... lolllll

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

I'd rather have the winning lotto numbers. Ends when it ends, just torture yourself guessing.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

A civil servant here. We’ve been told to work from home until September. So are expecting three months are least.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

We will all have nice tans for certain.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

31 oct 2020

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

If people are right and up to 6 months god help us. There are millions in this country that live for the next pay check and have no saving, things are going to get nasty.

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By *uck-RogersMan over a year ago

Tarka trail

This thread will end shortly.

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By *uck-RogersMan over a year ago

Tarka trail

I told you so.

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By *uck-RogersMan over a year ago

Tarka trail

Thread closed

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By *jl1972Man over a year ago

Bournemouth

I think every day between now and the end of this year has been suggested on this thread. There are just far too many variables to make a sensible estimate.

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By (user no longer on site) over a year ago

26 sept 2020

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