We've all been looking at other countries as to what measures we take here in the UK.
A lot of the world has been focusing on Italy with its high death rate.
Here are the findings of deaths in Italy during the Corona crisis.
Italy has a high number of elderly and is also quite high on flu .
It has been noted that there was also a pneumonia pandemic happening since November.
These are the official findings and as noted many had underlying problems, some with more than one comorbidites.
Also note that you do not die of Corona but die with it.
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/bollettino/Report-COVID-2019_20_marzo_eng.pdf
Our stats shouldn't reflect those that is happening in Italy.
And shouldn't be used to "predict" what's going to happen here |
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"In 2018 (from wiki) average age
Italy 45.5
Germany 47.1
UK 40.5
Covid fatalities per 1 million
Italy 124
Germany 3
UK 7
Those Germans seem to doing something right"
Average age of what?
Your dog?
Italy 45.5
Germany 47.1
UK 40.5
Please explain?
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"Popcorn and watch the Fab'sperts. Lol.
No expert just perspective
Meant the answers that will come following your post OP "
Agree totally. There’s so many on here |
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For perspective. In October 105BC when the world population was a tiny fraction of what it is now, the Italians lost 120,000 fit and well young men in a single morning in a poorly conceived attack on the barbarian hoards.
In 1938 when the world population was a fraction of now, the Chinese government sacrifices 600,000 young men over the course of 4 months to slow the Japanese advance in the eventual inevitable defeat of the battle of wuhan.
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"
Average age of what?
Your dog?
Italy 45.5
Germany 47.1
UK 40.5
Please explain?
Well as animals can't get covid, it relates humans, the median age in the country "
I couldn't believe the question needed to be asked |
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By *ty31Man
over a year ago
NW London |
"In 2018 (from wiki) average age
Italy 45.5
Germany 47.1
UK 40.5
Covid fatalities per 1 million
Italy 124
Germany 3
UK 7
Those Germans seem to doing something right"
The praise Germany has been receiving for keeping it's mortality rate low (0.5%) comes from their more extensive testing. Hence they have a high number of diagnosed cases (they aim to diagnose as many as possible irrespective of status).
Also it's hard to compare mortality ratios and spreads country to country, the spread of corona on Italy is thought to be exacerbated by the higher number of elderly relatives living with extended family as opposed to other countries (Germany, UK) where people leave the family home at a younger age and elderly are more likely to live separately. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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OP seems a thoughtful and accurate post. In that spirit here's a link to UK Gov information with the officially held status on the infectious consequence of Covid-19.
https://www.gov.uk/guidance/high-consequence-infectious-diseases-hcid#history
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By *ty31Man
over a year ago
NW London |
"London seems to be the stats we should look at, as aren’t they 2 or 3 weeks ahead of the rest of the country?
How do they compare to the worst affected area of Italy at a similar stage? "
You can't compare London to the rest of the country (or to Italy) for a couple of reasons.
Basically, London relies on an overcrowded public transport network which is obviously a huge Petri dish. Also more Londoners live in close proximity to each other and in shared accomdation (flat shares and bedsits and maisonettes etc). So somebody who has contracted it on the tube could then potentially spread it around the surfaces in their dwelling which are shared by other people. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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The only stats to look at are deaths... And these seem comparable for all countries Italy Spain,UK, France (Germany unknown) you need to trend the data... The UK people do not learn anything... Stay at home means stay at home.. I still here that people are still visiting girlfriends in houses that are not their own... You have just doubled the chance of a household infection... If everyone stayed at home... (who can stay at home) the peak would be in three weeks... Italy has so much more control of the situation (at least in the north of Italy) than the UK |
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"There’s a theory the pneumonia epidemic Italy had was actually earlier than thought covid"
My sister lives in Milan. I was due to visit at Christmas but got a new job in November the day before booking my flight, so didn’t go.
My brother-in-law was ill end of November, then my sister. My brother-in-law worked from home to sick to travel and my sister became ill. She said it was a good thing I didn’t come as they'd never been that sick in their lives.
They didn’t fully recover until mid January. They're convinced now, they had the coranavirus. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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For comparisons between geographical areas it can useful to see graphs plotted. One resource for covid-19 data is:
http://nrg.cs.ucl.ac.uk/mjh/covid19/
Seeing thoughtful accurate information can help anxiety levels. However, also true is they can look very alarming if you do not read very carefully or completely understand. Treat with caution! |
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"For comparisons between geographical areas it can useful to see graphs plotted. One resource for covid-19 data is:
http://nrg.cs.ucl.ac.uk/mjh/covid19/
Seeing thoughtful accurate information can help anxiety levels. However, also true is they can look very alarming if you do not read very carefully or completely understand. Treat with caution!"
Thanks for this |
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By *ty31Man
over a year ago
NW London |
"The only stats to look at are deaths... And these seem comparable for all countries Italy Spain,UK, France (Germany unknown) you need to trend the data... The UK people do not learn anything... Stay at home means stay at home.. I still here that people are still visiting girlfriends in houses that are not their own... You have just doubled the chance of a household infection... If everyone stayed at home... (who can stay at home) the peak would be in three weeks... Italy has so much more control of the situation (at least in the north of Italy) than the UK"
Germany has a mortality ratio of 0.5%. The lowest recorded.
This is thought to be due to their more extensive testing, they try to diagnose each and every case.
Hence whilst they have a high infection rate this brings the mortality rate down.
Also more young Germans live apart from older relatives whilst more elderly Italians live with their family.
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By *rHotNottsMan
over a year ago
Dubai & Nottingham |
"Popcorn and watch the Fab'sperts. Lol.
No expert just perspective
Meant the answers that will come following your post OP
Agree totally. There’s so many on here "
Italians are very sloppy kissers |
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By *rHotNottsMan
over a year ago
Dubai & Nottingham |
"London seems to be the stats we should look at, as aren’t they 2 or 3 weeks ahead of the rest of the country?
How do they compare to the worst affected area of Italy at a similar stage?
You can't compare London to the rest of the country (or to Italy) for a couple of reasons.
Basically, London relies on an overcrowded public transport network which is obviously a huge Petri dish. Also more Londoners live in close proximity to each other and in shared accomdation (flat shares and bedsits and maisonettes etc). So somebody who has contracted it on the tube could then potentially spread it around the surfaces in their dwelling which are shared by other people. "
I wonder in normal times how often the handrails on metro/tube trains and ATM keypads are cleaned properly. Considering biros like corona has a layer of fat and can live up to a reported 17 days, those surfaces must be responsible for huge numbers of infections |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"The only stats to look at are deaths... And these seem comparable for all countries Italy Spain,UK, France (Germany unknown) you need to trend the data... The UK people do not learn anything... Stay at home means stay at home.. I still here that people are still visiting girlfriends in houses that are not their own... You have just doubled the chance of a household infection... If everyone stayed at home... (who can stay at home) the peak would be in three weeks... Italy has so much more control of the situation (at least in the north of Italy) than the UK
Germany has a mortality ratio of 0.5%. The lowest recorded.
This is thought to be due to their more extensive testing, they try to diagnose each and every case.
Hence whilst they have a high infection rate this brings the mortality rate down.
Also more young Germans live apart from older relatives whilst more elderly Italians live with their family.
"
Germany plans to test 500k next week alone, the UK has only tested 90k overall |
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By *ty31Man
over a year ago
NW London |
"The only stats to look at are deaths... And these seem comparable for all countries Italy Spain,UK, France (Germany unknown) you need to trend the data... The UK people do not learn anything... Stay at home means stay at home.. I still here that people are still visiting girlfriends in houses that are not their own... You have just doubled the chance of a household infection... If everyone stayed at home... (who can stay at home) the peak would be in three weeks... Italy has so much more control of the situation (at least in the north of Italy) than the UK
Germany has a mortality ratio of 0.5%. The lowest recorded.
This is thought to be due to their more extensive testing, they try to diagnose each and every case.
Hence whilst they have a high infection rate this brings the mortality rate down.
Also more young Germans live apart from older relatives whilst more elderly Italians live with their family.
Germany plans to test 500k next week alone, the UK has only tested 90k overall "
It's the UK lack of testing and shortages of basic protective equipment for hospital staff which are our key issues I think. |
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"The only stats to look at are deaths... And these seem comparable for all countries Italy Spain,UK, France (Germany unknown) you need to trend the data... The UK people do not learn anything... Stay at home means stay at home.. I still here that people are still visiting girlfriends in houses that are not their own... You have just doubled the chance of a household infection... If everyone stayed at home... (who can stay at home) the peak would be in three weeks... Italy has so much more control of the situation (at least in the north of Italy) than the UK
Germany has a mortality ratio of 0.5%. The lowest recorded.
This is thought to be due to their more extensive testing, they try to diagnose each and every case.
Hence whilst they have a high infection rate this brings the mortality rate down.
Also more young Germans live apart from older relatives whilst more elderly Italians live with their family.
Germany plans to test 500k next week alone, the UK has only tested 90k overall
It's the UK lack of testing and shortages of basic protective equipment for hospital staff which are our key issues I think. "
Defo |
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"Italy just reported its lowest death toll for over two weeks.
Cases down, deaths down, recoveries up.
It seems like they are past the peak.
Fantastic news - wishing them the best. "
Fingers crossed for them.
They have been through the mill
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"Italy just reported its lowest death toll for over two weeks.
Cases down, deaths down, recoveries up.
It seems like they are past the peak.
Fantastic news - wishing them the best.
Fingers crossed for them.
They have been through the mill
"
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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The reason why it happens more in italy and less in other countries is of few things and one is there it is tradition to live to together in generations there. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"The reason why it happens more in italy and less in other countries is of few things and one is there it is tradition to live to together in generations there. " Also the population age is alot higher there.
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"London seems to be the stats we should look at, as aren’t they 2 or 3 weeks ahead of the rest of the country?
How do they compare to the worst affected area of Italy at a similar stage?
You can't compare London to the rest of the country (or to Italy) for a couple of reasons.
Basically, London relies on an overcrowded public transport network which is obviously a huge Petri dish. Also more Londoners live in close proximity to each other and in shared accomdation (flat shares and bedsits and maisonettes etc). So somebody who has contracted it on the tube could then potentially spread it around the surfaces in their dwelling which are shared by other people.
I wonder in normal times how often the handrails on metro/tube trains and ATM keypads are cleaned properly. Considering biros like corona has a layer of fat and can live up to a reported 17 days, those surfaces must be responsible for huge numbers of infections "
Can you source please. |
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"
Average age of what?
Your dog?
Italy 45.5
Germany 47.1
UK 40.5
Please explain?
Well as animals can't get covid, it relates humans, the median age in the country
Yes they can. "
Ok fair shout, but dogs don't get it dogs were referred to.
I hope everyones pussies are in lockdown as cats are susceptible and can pass it on |
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