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1 in 50 people currently infected in England
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By *asIsa OP Couple
over a year ago
harrow |
And still people posting meets ! Are you serious?! |
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I could not agree with you more!!! |
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By *evaquitCouple
over a year ago
Catthorpe |
Despair tbh.
Will just leave it at that because the rant would be immense. |
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By *iger4uWoman
over a year ago
In my happy place |
Report them. I do. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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The same people who are meeting are the ones moaning about being in lockdown, don’t they all realise they are the ones prolonging this mess , just seen on my hotlist , any couple’s secretly meeting in lockdown get in touch , another , glory hole open can wear gloves ??? |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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Two weeks to flatten the curve  |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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[Removed by poster at 05/01/21 18:57:24] |
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The one in 50 is people who currently have Covid. So if you add in all the people who have had it previously, what would the figure in 50 be ? |
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By *innMan
over a year ago
edinburgh |
Ok england you need to get a grip and soon, ffs 1:50 and you had to fight to close schools.
Seriously what is going on down there!
Have you all forgotten the basics and that Covid lives for days on surfaces.
Wash your hands
Stop touching your face
Stay in doors
Wear a mask
Use hand gel
Ffs - the numbers are out of control.
The vaccine won’t be enough to bring it under control. |
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We had more messages for meets after the lockdown announcement last night than we'd had in about the preceding 4 or 5 days. Absolutely insane. |
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We are off again from tomorrow, it's just not worth the hassle. Friend got reported on fabguys and no way was he meeting so he's left fabguys. Its a bit scary on here |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"The one in 50 is people who currently have Covid. So if you add in all the people who have had it previously, what would the figure in 50 be ?"
I was thinking the same |
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By *osweet69Couple
over a year ago
portsmouth |
Are we now on the way to herd immunity as more people are contracting the virus? |
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By *ady LickWoman
over a year ago
Northampton Somewhere |
1 in 50 is madness! Alarming when you think how many people are in the supermarket when you are  |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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It’s about time the fab owners and demons pulled their socks up and worked the site within government guidelines.
Remove status bars and disable verifications, instant ban for anyone who meets simple as that. |
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Quick search on total cases
2.34 million in England
0.157 million in Scotland |
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By *lansmanMan
over a year ago
Sheffield |
"The one in 50 is people who currently have Covid. So if you add in all the people who have had it previously, what would the figure in 50 be ?"
Indeed. How many had it in the first wave ? |
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By *08428Man
over a year ago
Shaftesbury |
And the families that go out shopping together, silly sods! Stay home, stay safe, the sex will still be there long after Covid. |
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"Quick search on total cases
2.34 million in England
0.157 million in Scotland"
is it currently infect or have had covid, out the 1.1 mil they say 50% have already recovered, you can really trick the number anyway you really want. Data can be manipulated and has been since day 1.
Be careful yes stop living no. |
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Ok relax. I know people think everything is a conspiracy and dont believe those that know best but its the best approximation of total cases I could find from a respected journal.
Believe whatever you like. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"Quick search on total cases
2.34 million in England
0.157 million in Scotland"
How do they get this figures when you see amount of actual tests daily.
Is it think of a number and double it and add some on and that will spook the public? |
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Uk had 60,916 reported new cases today
27 other European countries had a combined total of 124,843
A third of Europe’s covid is in the UK. It didn’t spread itself. Tottenham and West Ham footballers, MP’s, Rita Ora and uk public at large flouting rules. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"We had more messages for meets after the lockdown announcement last night than we'd had in about the preceding 4 or 5 days. Absolutely insane."
People thinking “oh great. Six weeks free off work on furlough, what shall I do”.
Muppets, all of them!
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By *itty9899Man
over a year ago
Craggy Island |
"And still people posting meets ! Are you serious?! "
I love it when people post webcam verifications and it's say's meet or met. |
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"We had more messages for meets after the lockdown announcement last night than we'd had in about the preceding 4 or 5 days. Absolutely insane.
People thinking “oh great. Six weeks free off work on furlough, what shall I do”.
Muppets, all of them!
"
Fully agree! |
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It’s not actual cases of 1-50 it is an estimate.
The last figures published by ONS 24 December for the previous week state
In the most recent week, the percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) in ENGLAND has continued to increase. During the most recent week (12 to 18 December 2020), we estimate 645,800 people (95% credible interval: 610,100 to 683,100) in the community in England had coronavirus (COVID-19). This equates to around 1 in 85 people (95% credible interval: 1 in 90 to 1 in 80).
The percentage of those testing positive has increased sharply in recent weeks in WALES; during the most recent week (12 to 18 December 2020), we estimate that 52,200 people in Wales had COVID-19 (95% credible interval: 40,800 to 65,300), equating to around 1 in 60 people (95% credible interval: 1 in 75 to 1 in 45)
The percentage testing positive in NORTHERN IRELAND has increased in the most recent week; during the most recent week (12 to 18 December 2020), we estimate that 10,100 people in Northern Ireland had COVID-19 (95% credible interval: 6,100 to 14,900), equating to around 1 in 180 people (95% credible interval: 1 in 300 to 1 in 125).
The percentage testing positive in SCOTLAND has decreased in the most recent week; during the most recent week (12 to 18 December 2020), we estimate that 37,100 people in Scotland had COVID-19 (95% credible interval: 28,900 to 46,300), equating to around 1 in 140 people (95% credible interval: 1 in 180 to 1 in 115).
I can’t find anything later than this to support the 1-50 |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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What number of tests were conducted by those 27 countries ? |
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By *obka3Couple
over a year ago
bournemouth |
"Uk had 60,916 reported new cases today
27 other European countries had a combined total of 124,843
A third of Europe’s covid is in the UK. It didn’t spread itself. Tottenham and West Ham footballers, MP’s, Rita Ora and uk public at large flouting rules. "
If you arent testing you arent going to get lots of positive results. You need to compare things equally. |
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Bottom line its an underestimate |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"It’s about time the fab owners and demons pulled their socks up and worked the site within government guidelines.
Remove status bars and disable verifications, instant ban for anyone who meets simple as that. "
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By *lansmanMan
over a year ago
Sheffield |
"Uk had 60,916 reported new cases today
27 other European countries had a combined total of 124,843
A third of Europe’s covid is in the UK. It didn’t spread itself. Tottenham and West Ham footballers, MP’s, Rita Ora and uk public at large flouting rules.
If you arent testing you arent going to get lots of positive results. You need to compare things equally."
This is basic stuff but passes most people by it seems. There was little testing during the first wave so thats the first big ommision. Then the number of positives is also meaningless without knowing the number of tests. Its the percentage of positives thats the important figure .
If we stopped testing everyone tomorrow cases would vanish .. if you get my meaning. |
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So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ?
If the r is ? Whatever the number is
How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity
Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked
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By *lansmanMan
over a year ago
Sheffield |
"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ?
If the r is ? Whatever the number is
How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity
Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked
"
it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ... |
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By *ookMan
over a year ago
london |
1 in 30 in London... staggering |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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I'm social distancing from everyone.. And I dont care what everyone else is doing- because its irrelevant! |
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By *obka3Couple
over a year ago
bournemouth |
"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ?
If the r is ? Whatever the number is
How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity
Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked
it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ..."
It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services. |
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By *lansmanMan
over a year ago
Sheffield |
"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ?
If the r is ? Whatever the number is
How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity
Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked
it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ...
It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services."
Yes I get that..over in the lockdown sense... |
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ?
If the r is ? Whatever the number is
How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity
Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked
it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ...
It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services.
Yes I get that..over in the lockdown sense..."
Just wondering in a purely maths way
1 in 50 , plus however many have had it , x the r number , - however many have been vaccinated
How many days , weeks or months until 45 million (70%) have got it
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We are a million miles from herd immunity. End of. |
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By *lansmanMan
over a year ago
Sheffield |
"We are a million miles from herd immunity. End of."
Never said it was close. But we truly don't know. We didn't mass test during the first wave. |
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"We are a million miles from herd immunity. End of."
How far away is a million miles in actual days ? |
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"We are a million miles from herd immunity. End of."
especially now the who changed its definition on their website too. |
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ?
If the r is ? Whatever the number is
How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity
Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked
it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ...
It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services.
Yes I get that..over in the lockdown sense...
Just wondering in a purely maths way
1 in 50 , plus however many have had it , x the r number , - however many have been vaccinated
How many days , weeks or months until 45 million (70%) have got it
"
The 1-50 is an estimate not confirmed infections
If I take the London figure 1-30 been muted about, taking into account individuals I know
- a 200 office team
- my sons year bubble of 70 children plus one parent, no siblings - 140
- neighbours and friends (and their families) accounting for about another 100 people
all within the London area that is approximately 440 people, so of them 14 should have tested positive - there have been 3 positive cases in my circle.
Estimates are just that and have a margin or error on both ends of the scale.
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ?
If the r is ? Whatever the number is
How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity
Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked
it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ...
It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services.
Yes I get that..over in the lockdown sense...
Just wondering in a purely maths way
1 in 50 , plus however many have had it , x the r number , - however many have been vaccinated
How many days , weeks or months until 45 million (70%) have got it
The 1-50 is an estimate not confirmed infections
If I take the London figure 1-30 been muted about, taking into account individuals I know
- a 200 office team
- my sons year bubble of 70 children plus one parent, no siblings - 140
- neighbours and friends (and their families) accounting for about another 100 people
all within the London area that is approximately 440 people, so of them 14 should have tested positive - there have been 3 positive cases in my circle.
Estimates are just that and have a margin or error on both ends of the scale.
"
But as we know, infections are often grouped together in clumps. Family clumps, specific geographic areas eg those with high density housing etc. So using our own social circle as a yardstick isn't always accurate either. Based on my social circle and colleagues, we don't have any problems in the UK at all, as we know very few who have tested positive. But we know that's not the case. |
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ?
If the r is ? Whatever the number is
How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity
Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked
it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ...
It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services.
Yes I get that..over in the lockdown sense...
Just wondering in a purely maths way
1 in 50 , plus however many have had it , x the r number , - however many have been vaccinated
How many days , weeks or months until 45 million (70%) have got it
The 1-50 is an estimate not confirmed infections
If I take the London figure 1-30 been muted about, taking into account individuals I know
- a 200 office team
- my sons year bubble of 70 children plus one parent, no siblings - 140
- neighbours and friends (and their families) accounting for about another 100 people
all within the London area that is approximately 440 people, so of them 14 should have tested positive - there have been 3 positive cases in my circle.
Estimates are just that and have a margin or error on both ends of the scale.
But as we know, infections are often grouped together in clumps. Family clumps, specific geographic areas eg those with high density housing etc. So using our own social circle as a yardstick isn't always accurate either. Based on my social circle and colleagues, we don't have any problems in the UK at all, as we know very few who have tested positive. But we know that's not the case. "
I’m aware of that and live it, using that scenario still no way near the figures estimated |
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By *konCouple
over a year ago
cardiff |
"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ?
If the r is ? Whatever the number is
How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity
Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked
it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ...
It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services."
That’s is surely the way it’s got to be . It’s never going to go ! The flu was there in 1918 ( and before ) it’s still here 102 years later |
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By *litterbabeWoman
over a year ago
hiding from cock pics. |
If I understood Chris Witty correctly speaking at the public broadcast at 5 p.m. on the 5th January, he was saying that it will always be with us it, is just that there will be an expected amount of people we will lose each year in the same way that there is with flu.
It seemed he was saying there was an amount that would be the tipping point at which restrictions are relaxed and we would sadly and unavoidably lose people.
Please note, I'm not saying I think this is ok I'm just saying that's the understanding I have of what he was saying. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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I wish someone would divulge that acceptable level.
.. worldwide.. so we can at least plan the future.. id be quite happy with an acceptable level as Witty knows lockdown cannot go on much longer than a year socially or economically... it would just be good to know
d |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"And still people posting meets ! Are you serious?! "
No way 1 in 50 infected
OMG I didn't realise figures were that high in the UK. |
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By *sGivesWoodWoman
over a year ago
ST. AUSTELL, CORNWALL |
"And still people posting meets ! Are you serious?!
No way 1 in 50 infected
OMG I didn't realise figures were that high in the UK. "
Estimated figures, not facts. |
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By *.D.I.D.A.SMan
over a year ago
London/Essex... ish... Romford to be exact |
'Only 1 in 50 you say? I like those odds' said the horny Fab member on the prowl. |
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"The one in 50 is people who currently have Covid. So if you add in all the people who have had it previously, what would the figure in 50 be ?"
Currently nearer 1 in 40 |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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A very scary statistic  |
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By *ercuryMan
over a year ago
Grantham |
The big danger is that this variant is now spreading Northwards.
The NHS are getting extremely worried.
If you flout the rules, then you will most definitely have blood on your hands, and it won't be forgotten! |
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"The big danger is that this variant is now spreading Northwards.
The NHS are getting extremely worried.
If you flout the rules, then you will most definitely have blood on your hands, and it won't be forgotten! "
Seems to be more contagious but less deadly |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"Are we now on the way to herd immunity as more people are contracting the virus? "
Been saying Herd Herd Herd immunity from.day 1. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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I can see why the figure has been put in these terms - it is more impactful than saying 2% and that impact is needed for people to realise that their actions have serious consequences on the NHS.
It does nothing good for the simmering anxiety that has been bubbling in many of us for the past ten months though. |
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"It’s about time the fab owners and demons pulled their socks up and worked the site within government guidelines.
Remove status bars and disable verifications, instant ban for anyone who meets simple as that. "
Why stop there? Why not shut the forums or the entire site then nobody can do any wrong |
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"Quick search on total cases
2.34 million in England
0.157 million in Scotland"
Take into account the population differences and the population density.
Not comparible in the real world.
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"And still people posting meets ! Are you serious?! "
Dirty buggers  |
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The big question is how long will people genuinely put up with those who break the rules? swingwers rukles seem to be holding reasonably stable and theres more sensible swingers than idiots I suspect
I mean I know they think they are right (Covid is a figment of our imagination and therfore harmeless etc) So they don't believe they are doing wrong obviously!
I only ask as outside the swinging world it appears to be getting worse there some people on the close where I live who don't seem to be taking any notice at all of anything covid safe and I am finding it really really hard not to to go over and start getting more than ' shouty' with them! Lots of parties on every day apart from Christmas day and of course they were the ones who invited lots and lots of people to their all day/ night hot tub parties in the summer .. It seems so unfair when everyone else is trying so hard and giving up so much that there is no real way we can have of ' controlling/ curbing' the activities of people who refuse to behave .. I can see this issue getting worse and worse before people start smacking each other around frankly .. :/
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