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Why would the second peak be worse
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By *litterbabe OP Woman
over a year ago
hiding from cock pics. |
This is a genuine question, as I just don't understand.
We maybe not were completely prepared for the first peek, but definitely had spent time in preparing, new hospitals built etc, surely we are now better prepared with different knowledge, experience and expectations if and when there is a second peek, why do people feel the second peak would be worse than the first?
If we start approaching a second be surely we would them start going back into a firm lock down quickly, I don't understand why people feel the second peak could be worse than the first.
Can someone please clarify as I feel I'm missing some information somewhere. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"Yes you are
If it happens in winter then nhs already will flu issues, and won't cope " Most people who die of the flu live in care homes, so most will already be dead. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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Because the second pick people wont bother with it tgats wy is so dangerous...a lot of people dont respect this virus covid19 even now..so imagine later.. |
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This always seems to be the pattern with Coronaviruses and dimilair viruses, take a look at the data for outbreaks like SARS & MERS, there are normally 3 peaks with the 2nd one being the most severe. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"This is a genuine question, as I just don't understand.
We maybe not were completely prepared for the first peek, but definitely had spent time in preparing, new hospitals built etc, surely we are now better prepared with different knowledge, experience and expectations if and when there is a second peek, why do people feel the second peak would be worse than the first?
If we start approaching a second be surely we would them start going back into a firm lock down quickly, I don't understand why people feel the second peak could be worse than the first.
Can someone please clarify as I feel I'm missing some information somewhere."
I heard it explained by an American scientist lady on the radio the other week and she used the USA as her example.
Basically in the beginning of the virus in January hardly anyone had the virus so daily infection rates will have been very slow to start with and the annual flu season was nearing it yearly cycle "season" end.
That's when countries started to lock down as the infection spread through out the world.
American states started to ease lockdown restrictions the other week while their reported new infections stood at 50,000 a day but scientific studies estimated it is most probably 200,000 new infections a day.
So, the second wave most probably would be far worse if businesses and schools all started to open, travelling and distancing measures relaxed just as the next flu season is about to start while daily covid-19 new infections are already at 200,000 a day to start with.
She said easing lockdown too quickly is like letting the flames die down just a little before throwing a can of fuel over it.
The UK would be exactly the same but you'd just have to adjust the numbers accordingly to population size. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"This is a genuine question, as I just don't understand.
We maybe not were completely prepared for the first peek, but definitely had spent time in preparing, new hospitals built etc, surely we are now better prepared with different knowledge, experience and expectations if and when there is a second peek, why do people feel the second peak would be worse than the first?
If we start approaching a second be surely we would them start going back into a firm lock down quickly, I don't understand why people feel the second peak could be worse than the first.
Can someone please clarify as I feel I'm missing some information somewhere."
"Watch: Why a second wave of coronavirus could be worse than the first"
Google the above. It's a telegraph presentation. I don't normally like to quote media sources, but here you go.
It states about population exposure to the virus has been lower than expected the first time around. However, estimated exposure of 5% of population seems too low to me. We'd have a better idea if testing had been continuous throughout. |
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At one point there was just one or possibly a one hundred carriers and they could not stop those multiplying to runaway numbers now there are thousands of new cases a day people were crowded in tubes so the next spike will be massive unless there is a miracle |
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"Because the second pick people wont bother with it tgats wy is so dangerous...a lot of people dont respect this virus covid19 even now..so imagine later.. " people dont respect flu either to be fair. If you read the reports about it they say that we should have already been doing many of the hygiene things we are now to combat flu... but yet we weren't/ dont as a whole |
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By *atEvolutionCouple
over a year ago
atlantisEVOLUTION Swingers Club. Stoke |
The number of people who do not get a flu injection each year is atrocious - much less a pneumonia vaccine.
The most a flu vaccine costs is about £10 - pneumonia vaccine quite a bit more £75 (but covers you for 5 years).
And it not only protects you but those you come into contact with particularly the old and the vunerable.
I bet (hope) that changes this year however.
We'll see.
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By *ookMan
over a year ago
london |
Agree about mental health crisis... just lost a really good friend to suicide ( totally out of blue and not expected) and can’t even go to his funeral. Many people on a knife edge... please please check in with friends and family all. |
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A second peak will be bad, because more people will die … simples !!
do people not think that 400+ people a day dying of this thing is enough to stay at home !
bloody parks around here are rammed with people !
I am so glad I don't live at the coast anymore, this weekend is going to be hell ! |
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By *on12xxMan
over a year ago
leeds |
"NHS will cope because lockdown will be brought back unfortunately "
It only copes because care people have to hospital treatment withdrawn
If captain tom was in a care home not a hospital would he survived we have let them down and some of them we celebrated on ve day and this the thanks we give |
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