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By (user no longer on site) OP
over a year ago
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Just watching Prof Chris Fraser (Oxford University "expert" on epidemiology) on Andrew Marr. He reckons between 3-10% of population of UK have had/have virus. Mid estimate is, therefore, about 4 000 000 people.
If we double hospital registered deaths and assume 40 000 actual deaths then the mortality rate comes to about 1%.
All of these are estimates....based on the data/modelling we currently have. But it is in the middle ground of WHO figures for current mortality rates. |
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By *litterbabeWoman
over a year ago
hiding from cock pics. |
I doubt very much personally that doubling the mortality rate would give an accurate example of how many people have died to date, which therefore brings the mortality rate down to less than 1.
I'm certainly aware of quite a few people who haven't been tested but pretty sure they have had it, myself included.
Of course this is all speculation |
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By (user no longer on site) OP
over a year ago
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Me too in February. It was "diagnosed" (by GP) as pneumonia. But since then they have called me back, told me they put a note on my file to have anti-body test as/when available, as now suspect Cv19.
Like many...not tested at time so don't know. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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I've got some bad news. New scientific data has confirmed the mortality rate at 100%.
Thats right- 100% of people who contract Covid 19 will, at some point in the future, die  |
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By *ornLordMan
over a year ago
Wiltshire and London |
"I've got some bad news. New scientific data has confirmed the mortality rate at 100%.
Thats right- 100% of people who contract Covid 19 will, at some point in the future, die "
Cause of death - stopped living? |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"I've got some bad news. New scientific data has confirmed the mortality rate at 100%.
Thats right- 100% of people who contract Covid 19 will, at some point in the future, die
Cause of death - stopped living?"
  |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"Just watching Prof Chris Fraser (Oxford University "expert" on epidemiology) on Andrew Marr. He reckons between 3-10% of population of UK have had/have virus. Mid estimate is, therefore, about 4 000 000 people.
If we double hospital registered deaths and assume 40 000 actual deaths then the mortality rate comes to about 1%.
All of these are estimates....based on the data/modelling we currently have. But it is in the middle ground of WHO figures for current mortality rates."
Sorry but by the time you gave a variance of between 3 and 10% of the population and start doubling hospital deaths, you may as just pick a percentage at random. Its completely meaningless |
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By (user no longer on site) OP
over a year ago
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"I've got some bad news. New scientific data has confirmed the mortality rate at 100%.
Thats right- 100% of people who contract Covid 19 will, at some point in the future, die
Cause of death - stopped living?"
My dad always used to say inly cause of death is shortage of breath.... sadly his ran out a few years back.... |
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By *bi HaiveMan
over a year ago
Forum Mod Cheeseville, Somerset |
The true mortality rate will never be known.
It would take over two years to test the population even doing 100,000 a day. Not gonna happen.
During that time many would die both from Covid 19 and with Covid 19. There's a difference.
Tests are already showing false positives/negatives.
Nobody can confirm any immunity once infected.
Nobody can confirm if you can catch it more than once.
As there's no guarantee of finding a vaccine or one that will be 100% effective, even if one is found it won't make test results easier or more accurate.
So we'll never know the true stats.
A |
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"I've got some bad news. New scientific data has confirmed the mortality rate at 100%.
Thats right- 100% of people who contract Covid 19 will, at some point in the future, die "
Shit. I found new data too. Apparently even if you never get covid you will at some point in the future .... die
So that's it. Doomed. |
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"Just watching Prof Chris Fraser (Oxford University "expert" on epidemiology) on Andrew Marr. He reckons between 3-10% of population of UK have had/have virus. Mid estimate is, therefore, about 4 000 000 people.
If we double hospital registered deaths and assume 40 000 actual deaths then the mortality rate comes to about 1%.
All of these are estimates....based on the data/modelling we currently have. But it is in the middle ground of WHO figures for current mortality rates."
Sounds about right. I've been basing the longevity of Covid , it's probable recurrent phase spikes and mortality rate on those of 1918. The comparisons are pretty strong/convincing.
1% of 67m = 670,000. In 1918 toll was 210,000 out of approx 46m.
Death rate of those who contracted the disease was nearer to 10% / 20%.
I want to know infection rates. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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Go onto the government wed site and ask for death rates and all you get to cv9 numbers. You used to be able to ask what people died from, funny not telling us now.last year in an average day 200 cancer 100 heart, so just asking as no checks being made only if they carry the virus. How many died with the virus and not of the virus, we should all be asking and see the real picture. |
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By *mmabluTV/TS
over a year ago
upton wirral |
"Just watching Prof Chris Fraser (Oxford University "expert" on epidemiology) on Andrew Marr. He reckons between 3-10% of population of UK have had/have virus. Mid estimate is, therefore, about 4 000 000 people.
If we double hospital registered deaths and assume 40 000 actual deaths then the mortality rate comes to about 1%.
All of these are estimates....based on the data/modelling we currently have. But it is in the middle ground of WHO figures for current mortality rates."
Nobody knows all guess work |
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Assume 65 million currently live in the uk lets take off 10 million for school age kids that leaves 55 million ,now lets say the death percentage is as low as 2% then that number is 1,100000 thats one million one hundred thousand. Now lets assume every death effects 4 people ( mum,dad,brother or sister and boyfriend or girlfriend) that makes a massive number, all i ask is when you see the daily death numbers you think how you would feel if one of the group of the above named people you know died |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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Let's model data on modelled data compared to further estimations to give a number that matches someone else's model data. Reality is there isn't enough testing in place. But reality is life decisions will be made on this data. |
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