right i know some peeps will say shut up silver but i think most would rather prepare for a damp squib rather than be caught out.
there are already 2 cyclones in the north atlantic heading our way.
first one due to hit uk landfal monday evening and is on a par with thurday last week. impossible to say with certainty where it will track but met office has yellow warning for northern ireland and north west england. keep tuned to weather for updates - remember they can only predict with more accuracy the closer it gets.
but the one that might be wore still is due on friday 16 dec 2011 and might be worse than the great storm of 26 jan 1884 when the whole of uk suffered widespread destruction.
im not a harbinger of doom - just flagging what MIGHT happen. reason being that weather patterns are almost a carbon copy of events in 1884.
i will happily be preven wrong |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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FFS - as a yorkshire lass who has lived in scotland for the last 20 years 
The odd powercut / trees falling / roof tiles missing etc etc...
Its just normal scottish weather that people never had the need to name anything but just another typical howler of a night !!!
One of the scots phrases i got used to was "Did u hear the weather last night"
As a kid in england in the 80`s - everything grinds to a halt !! 2 inch of snow and you lose power / gas / water supplies / roads etc...
This is now what is happening in scotland.#
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dont know what the Met Office are playing at re Tuesday 13th. At first glance they still have a specific yellow alert for snow in Scotland but have removed the specific alert for wind.
Suspect they have combined both into the snow warning.
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Latest statement (covering everywhere from Inverness south) was issued 12:33 monday (covering 24 hour period from 03:00 Tuesday) states:
Heavy showers will fall as snow over hills above about 100 m, and at times to low levels too. Accumulations of 10 cm or more are possible on hills, and there may also be some slushy accumulations at low levels. As a result some roads will become icy at times.
Very strong winds will accompany the showers at times, notably across Northern Ireland and southern and western Scotland.
The public should be aware that travel may be disrupted as a result of the bad weather, notably over high ground where combination of strong winds and snow could lead to temporary blizzard conditions.
Weather Impact Matrix Assessment
Impact of the Storm: level 3 of 4
Confidence of Forecast: Level 3 of 4
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Traffic Scotland website statement issued 21:30 hours Monday:
Motorists are being warned to brace themselves for potential travel disruption during tomorrow (Tuesday) evening’s rush hour, when the next phase of unsettled weather is expected to sweep across parts of the Central belt.
The Met Office has this afternoon issued a yellow alert for more strong winds and gusts in excess of 60mph through the Central belt. And heavy snow above 200m could lead to blizzard conditions across higher ground
While conditions will not reach the severe levels witnessed last Thursday, the unsettled weather is set to continue through the week and the public are advised to keep up to date with our forecasts and information from Traffic Scotland. Police are expected to declare a level three ‘high risk of disruption for road journeys’ warning for some parts – but have stressed that different parts of the central belt will be more adversely affected that others and have asked the public to stay tuned to local radio for more precise updates.
Last week saw the unprecedented step of the level four warning: ‘avoid travelling on the roads’ being issued.
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So to summarise, this storm is steaming in from the Atlantic and the "eye" is tracking over Western Isles/Outer Hebrides - Capewrath which means we will all experience pretty much what we experienced when Bawbag came.
Whilst wind is predicted to be not as severe as Bawbag, we do have the additional spectre of snow and blizzards. Thus, the combined effects WILL MAKE CONDITIONS TREACHEROUS.
As for Friday, it looks as though the "eye" will track across southern England which means the strongest winds will be in the English Channel. However, I have seen trajectory readings ranging from Scottish Borders to English Channel - its just too early to say with any confidence.
Lets get today's storm out of the way first.
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CORRECTION TO PREVIOUS POST
Weather Impact Matrix Assessment
Impact of the Storm: level 3 of 4
Confidence of Forecast: Level 1 of 4
Not sure what to make of that.
Met office predicting a serious event but have a low confidence in their own forecast??????
Feel a Michael Fish moment coming on here. And we all know he made a right #HurricaneFannybaws of himself
Joking apart, please take take care.
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Well that was a bit of a damp squib! Still got horizontal rain with us but no as bad.
And Friday now looks like a south england job - steaming up the English Channel tracking over London, Amsterdam. Hamburg & Kopenhagen.
So folks- me wonders if our Engelander cousins wll be quite so stoical -or will the media hype into the mother of all storms?
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"hurricane "fannybaws" just didnt amount to much lol
Don't tell the girls but personally I thought "fannybaws" was a typical woman - huff n puff (wind) but full o pish (rain)
"
oi u!!!!!!!!!!  |
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. Thanks for the warning. Planning a sea journey this week and get sea sick on dry land just watching the ferry bobbing up and down!
