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General Election, Predictions
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So, someone put up a prediction on another thread and I hope they don’t mind but I copied and pasted it here:
The next General Election will be on 28 November. We'll soon see who has the most to loose and most to gain. I reckon the losers will be the Tories & Labour, while the gainers will be the LibDems (great) and possibly the BREXIT Party (not so great)
Likely breakdown of seats
Conservative 250 to 300
Labour 230 to 270
LibDems 50 to 100
BREXIT Party 0 to 25.
Watch this space.
(S)he hasn’t factored in the SNP or DUP or independents,
Who else is prepared to put their have a guess
My guess is:
Conservatives 260
Labour 220
LibDems 80
SNP 50
DUP 10
Brexit 30
Independents/Greens/Others 10
SF 7
Your turn!!! |
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By *andS66Couple
over a year ago
Derby |
"So, someone put up a prediction on another thread and I hope they don’t mind but I copied and pasted it here:
The next General Election will be on 28 November. We'll soon see who has the most to loose and most to gain. I reckon the losers will be the Tories & Labour, while the gainers will be the LibDems (great) and possibly the BREXIT Party (not so great)
Likely breakdown of seats
Conservative 250 to 300
Labour 230 to 270
LibDems 50 to 100
BREXIT Party 0 to 25.
Watch this space.
(S)he hasn’t factored in the SNP or DUP or independents,
Who else is prepared to put their have a guess
My guess is:
Conservatives 260
Labour 220
LibDems 80
SNP 50
DUP 10
Brexit 30
Independents/Greens/Others 10
SF 7
Your turn!!!"
That's 667 MPs! |
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"So, someone put up a prediction on another thread and I hope they don’t mind but I copied and pasted it here:
The next General Election will be on 28 November. We'll soon see who has the most to loose and most to gain. I reckon the losers will be the Tories & Labour, while the gainers will be the LibDems (great) and possibly the BREXIT Party (not so great)
Likely breakdown of seats
Conservative 250 to 300
Labour 230 to 270
LibDems 50 to 100
BREXIT Party 0 to 25.
Watch this space.
(S)he hasn’t factored in the SNP or DUP or independents,
Who else is prepared to put their have a guess
My guess is:
Conservatives 260
Labour 220
LibDems 80
SNP 50
DUP 10
Brexit 30
Independents/Greens/Others 10
SF 7
Your turn!!!
That's 667 MPs!"
Well you have a go at it then,
I’m not sure if too many will be exactly on the button!
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By *estivalMan
over a year ago
borehamwood |
who gives a fuck whe the next leaders are will just be more of the same.twats who are in it for themselves above everything else people who have never had a real job and have no idea about how the actual people of this country actually live. every last one of them are self serving cunts one way or another |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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I think you've rather over estimated Labour's chances. I think they'll end up with less than 150 seats. Maybe even less than 100 at the rate they're going |
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OP i don't think you are massively out. I suspect the brexit won't get 30 seats. More like half that. Things are changing so quickly its hard to guess. Labour will lose a lot of seats in its northern and midland heartlands and the tories will probably be wiped out in london and scotland and lose a lot in the south east and large cities. Probably pick up a few from normally labour seats. |
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By *oo hotCouple
over a year ago
North West |
"I think you've rather over estimated Labour's chances. I think they'll end up with less than 150 seats. Maybe even less than 100 at the rate they're going"
Not sure they will do that badly but can you imagine what would happen in the Labour Party if that did happen?
What would Momentum and the far left do? They have their perfect Leader, they had the perfect beginnings for a socialist manifesto - they played all their best cards and got routed. |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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Depends if Boris does a deal with farage, if they do I'd expect an awful lot of the current parliament to be unemployed, I'd say around 40%.
Tories down 60
Labour down 60
Brexit party up 90
Lib Dems up 30 |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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There is a massive amount of public opinion about the whole electoral system, parliament and democracy at present.
If Boris Johnson is still PM after 31 October, I do rather suspect there might never be another general election. |
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By *eordiesCouple
over a year ago
newcastle |
If your saying a GE while we are still in the current impasse with EU and on another extension, then I'd say a lot of leavers would vote Brexit party and a lot of remainers would vote Lib-Dem.
Meanwhile Tories and Labour would suffer by having much reduced vote share. |
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"Just checked the bookies and they are going for the following.
Con 306
Lab 227
LD 39
Brexit 2
SNP 50
PC 5"
I think these figures are realistic and similar to my originals that the OP quoted. I think you may be slightly underestimating the number of Conservative seats that will fall to the LibDems.
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By *abioMan
over a year ago
Newcastle and Gateshead |
all i will say is in scotland the tories get wiped out by the SNP.... and in england the lib dems will snatch seats from the tories down south and in the south west... and from labour in some affluent cities
still thing it will be a hung parliament, but enough that it will give corbyn a better chance of running a more stable minority govt |
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"Conservatives 343
Labour 166
LibDem 77
SNP 40
PC 5
Green 1"
Extremely optimistic for the Conservatives. They will lucky if they get 300 and will probably get closer to 250.
Also overly pessimistic for Labour. There is almost 0 chance that Labour won't pick up well over 200 seats.
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"Conservatives 343
Labour 166
LibDem 77
SNP 40
PC 5
Green 1
No chance 
What’s your prediction then ?
I won’t say, is that ok??
Not surprised "
How can you predict something that hasn’t been called yet? When they announce who the nextTory leader is then I will make a prediction?? |
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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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"Conservatives 343
Labour 166
LibDem 77
SNP 40
PC 5
Green 1
No chance
What’s your prediction then ?
I won’t say, is that ok??
Not surprised
How can you predict something that hasn’t been called yet? When they announce who the nextTory leader is then I will make a prediction??"
There might be NO next tory leader. Johnson is Johnson. |
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My prediction: GE February next year. A grand coalition will come together to get some sort of deal through (May plus custom union?) then put it to a confirmation referendum. Don’t know who will lead this, but despite backing him, I doubt it will be Corbyn.
If (and it is a huge if) that happens, it will put all bets off as it might make both Brexit Party and Lib Dem’s seem irrelevant as their core policy (hard leave against hard remain) will be history. I suspect Brexit Party won’t lie down that easily, as they are playing a narrative that virtually any deal is not respecting ‘the will of the people’. |
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By *mmabluTV/TS
over a year ago
upton wirral |
"who gives a fuck whe the next leaders are will just be more of the same.twats who are in it for themselves above everything else people who have never had a real job and have no idea about how the actual people of this country actually live. every last one of them are self serving cunts one way or another"
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