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Israel to mark October 7 Hamas attack anniversary
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By *otMe66Man 16 weeks ago
Terra Firma |
This should be a sobering day for everyone as we reflect on the past 12 months and remember all the innocent lives that were lost.
I'm not sure it will be that case, I expect militants will be celebrating |
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"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout."
Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime. |
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"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout.
Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime."
It would do the most economic damage to Iran, and curb it's military aggression. Maybe even regime change. But the collateral cost would be high for the world in economic terms. |
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"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout.
Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime.
It would do the most economic damage to Iran, and curb it's military aggression. Maybe even regime change. But the collateral cost would be high for the world in economic terms."
You could be right, but it would only be as a much broader attack, with more emphasis on anti aircraft and nuclear facilities. Regime change is 100% the goal. Israel wants Iranian hearts and minds, to the extent possible under the circumstances. The regime change is only possibly from within. |
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"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout.
Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime."
Not convinced it will be limited and any retaliation will be quickly dispatched.
The USA sent three more fighter squadrons last week, making four plus a carrier. |
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Israel is looking to cut off snake heads in hamas, hezbollah and most importantly in Iran. Infrastructure is a secondary target for Israel way behind people removal. Therefore tomorrow is likely to be a kinetic day albeit there is every chance much of the action will be hidden from the headlines. |
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By *otMe66Man 16 weeks ago
Terra Firma |
"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout.
Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime.
It would do the most economic damage to Iran, and curb it's military aggression. Maybe even regime change. But the collateral cost would be high for the world in economic terms."
Global price shock is why I think this would be off the table, China being the number 1 trader in Iran's oil. |
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Can people please keep to the forums and not send DMs. If you are not brave enough to reply in the forum to a question or state what you are thinking don't do it privately.
It's a sad practice and you will not get a proper response from me.
Mrs x |
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Today, we mark a devastating and tragic anniversary. On 7 October 2023, more than 1,200 men, women and children, including 46 Americans and citizens of more than 30 countries, were slaughtered by Hamas – the largest massacre of Jews since the Holocaust. Girls and women were sexually assaulted. The depravity of Hamas’s crimes is almost unspeakable
Anthony Blinken. |
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"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout.
Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime.
Not convinced it will be limited and any retaliation will be quickly dispatched.
The USA sent three more fighter squadrons last week, making four plus a carrier. "
https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/10/lasting-israel-palestine-peace-will-not-be-possible-without-new-policy-neutralize-iranian
This is one pragmatic perspective on the possibilities for peace in the Middle East, should it be possible to remove Iranian originated threats. Spoiler: it's not all peace and love. |
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A good tactic would be to hold off attacking Iran. Wait, wait, wait till Iran sends it's next wave of bombs. Then hit them hard, hit everything, army and airforce bases, water, electric, gas food supplies and Internet and tv broadcasting, toilet roll factories all at the same time.
Show restraint first then go hard and mean.
If Iran doesn't send any more bombs then don't attack them.
Keep after Hezbolah and Hamas in the meantime until the last of the hostages are released.
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"...toilet roll factories all at the same time.
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(1) That's really low. Outside of the Middle East, that would be a real war crime; but...
(2) That would make little impact in a country where everyone has a bidet, or similar.
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